Lumin is a systematic directional model for crypto perpetual futures, driven by a cohort of reasoning agents.
+123% on BTCUSDT — February 2025 → May 27, 2026, net of all
exchange costs, vs buy-and-hold −12%.
Live through the Lumin terminal since March 2026 — on
BTC, ETH, SOL.
The result extends a 6.5-year chained backtest — seven independent cohorts, Sharpe 1.98 net of costs, 7 of 7 years profitable — through the COVID crash, the FTX/LUNA capitulation, the Bitcoin ETF rally, and the Trump tariff cycles.
The architecture is a multi-agent LLM cohort: reasoning specialists that read the market bar by bar against a structured curriculum — a practitioner's mind made portable, compounding with every resolved trade and inheriting the gains of every next-generation reasoning model without retraining. The approach generalises anywhere skilled experts produce value.
Lumin advances alongside my main career — fourteen years of Machine Vision engineering at Swiss precision metrology houses. Reading the physics behind a metrology measurement uses the same logic as reading the psychology behind a market price: identify the generator, model its influence, engineer for it. The reading reflexes, modelling tools, and post-mortem discipline that resolve an optical measurement are directly reusable in Lumin. Since 2021 the two trajectories have advanced in parallel, each breakthrough on one side feeding the other.
On the Lumin side, the work began from a personal need: cut the emotions out of trades and let an algorithm decide. Years of iteration distilled price action into a structural vocabulary of recurring multi-bar configurations — the signatures — which became the language the current architecture speaks. The production cohort runs on frontier substrates in parallel — Claude Opus and DeepSeek V4 Pro, with Claude Fable, the newest frontier generation, validated on the bench — reading the same curriculum and reaching consensus across model families. The system extracts edge in choppy markets where deterministic logic breaks down, and captures the asymmetric tail when a clean trend opens.
| Annual returns | Lumin | BTC buy-and-hold |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | +360% | +302% |
| 2021 | +228% | +58% |
| 2022 FTX/LUNA | +90% | −65% |
| 2023 | +51% | +155% |
| 2024 | +91% | +112% |
| 2025 | +112% | −7% |
| 2026 YTD | +28% | −15% |
| Compounded total | ~224× | ~9× |
